A daily email about monetizing your corporate expertise. Give me ~1 minute a day, and I'll help you turn what you know into your most differentiated and lucrative asset.
All eyes from Wall Street to Washington today were peeled for one visual: the US Federal Reserve’s so-called ‘dot plot’. It’s a visual representation of each member of the Fed committee’s expectations of interest rates over the next three years. Aside from today’s marquis announcement of the first rate reduction of the year, which was already priced in, it’s the dot plot that offers the real juice. Fidelity’s primer covers the origin and importance of the visual: The market has always been sensitive to changes in the federal funds rate. But until 1997, they often came as a surprise. It wasn’t until August 1997 that the Fed acknowledged that it used a target for the federal funds rate as its main policy tool. Since then, it has become more and more transparent about its policy targets and its considerations, so there are few big surprises to shake up the market. Since 2012, the Fed has published the dot plot as part of this drive toward transparency, and the market now parses the dot plot for hints and clues. It is rarely taken by surprise. So, what magic information is densely packed into a seemingly boring scatterplot?
To say this information is market-moving would be an understatement. A lower cost of capital has implications across the entire economy, so any insight gleaned on future rates can be traded on. Hence why this simple quarterly visual is so rich and sought after. Now, The Fed could just as well release a drafted document, in narrative form to share the anonymized output of the committee survey… But in this case, as in many others, a visual speaks louder and more deeply than words. Do you have a simple, visual asset that can awaken the senses of your ideal buyer at a glance? Yours may not move global markets, but it can certainly open the right eyes to your unique perspective. 💡 -Wes |
A daily email about monetizing your corporate expertise. Give me ~1 minute a day, and I'll help you turn what you know into your most differentiated and lucrative asset.